Abstract:
Land use and land cover (LULC) change is one of the most important environmental challenges that has affected the Earth's systems and its ecosystem services. The main objective of this study was to assess LULC change drivers and its impacts on ecosystem services in the Burayu sub-city. The study used satellite images from four time periods, 1993 and 2023, to understand the spatial and temporal dynamics of LULC by using the GIS and RS techniques under a supervised classification system. In addition, to address the drivers of LULC changes in the study area, a multifaceted method was followed that included field observations, focus group discussions, and respondent interviews. A modified benefit transfer method was used to evaluate ecosystem service value (ESV) changes in response to LULC change. The study results revealed that population growth, urbanization, agricultural expansion, and infrastructure development drive the LULC change. The study reveals that population growth, urbanization, agricultural expansion, and infrastructure development are driving the change in the LULC composition of the Burayu sub-city over the past 30 years. Croplands have decreased from 51.2% to 30.3%, forest cover has dropped from 32.9% to 15%, and grassland has fallen from 12.7% to 6.1%. Settlement areas have expanded from 2.5% to 46.9%, and the total natural capital value has decreased from $368.7 million in 1993 to $227.0 million per year. This indicates a significant change in LULC and ecosystem service values. The local government should develop a comprehensive land use plan, balance urban development with ecosystem service preservation, strengthen law enforcement, and increase public awareness.
